BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE
Friday Cost: 346 FML Bucks
Friday Estimate: $19.10 million
Saturday Cost: 472 FML Bucks
Saturday Estimate: $27.19 million
Sunday Cost: 334 FML Bucks
Sunday Estimate: $18.451 million
After the $166 million weekend with an $81 million opening
night and the small number of new movies, the powers that be decided to keep each
BvS day as an option. But with 29% on
the Tomatometer a ‘B’ Cinemascore, all signs point to a larger than normal drop
for a huge blockbuster. I’m thinking a 61%
drop, with daily percentage splits of 29.5/42/28.5. STAY AWAY!
ZOOTOPIA
Cost: 251 FML Bucks
Estimate: $16.213 million
Another weekend, another weekend as the top family
option. It’s doing so well right now
that its net theatre change is +28.
Insanity! Not enough to pull off
a surprise upset for the Bonus, but it is a better option than any of the BvS
choices.
GOD’S NOT DEAD 2
Cost: 212 FML Bucks
Estimate: $13.5 million
The sequel for the surprise hit of Spring 2014 as it made
over $9 million in less than 800 theatres.
It opens in 2300+ theatres this time so the weekend gross will be
higher, but with all the Christian movies that have been out so far this year
including a more palatable one in more theatres this weekend, this should be
drowned out enough to not be in contention for the Bonus.
MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 2
Cost: 157 FML Bucks
Estimate: $11.61 million
The real crowdpleaser of the weekend with an ‘A-‘
Cinemascore. And with a target audience
who isn’t the type to run out early to see this, the drop should be minimal. I’m talking Bonus-winning minimal.
MIRACLES FROM HEAVEN
Cost: 93 FML Bucks
Estimate: $5.33 million
No longer the newest Christian-centric movie in
theatres. But the word is out about this
as a feel-good kind of religious experience.
It’s just too high priced for Bonus contention.
THE DIVERGENT SERIES: ALLEGIANT
Cost: 71 FML Bucks
Estimate: $4.717 million
Already down to just above 3000 theatres, this penultimate
entry in the franchise is dead in the water.
Don’t even bother.
MEET THE BLACKS
Cost: 55 FML Bucks
Estimate: $3.791 million
A few weeks after a black-centric romcom, we get another
black-centric spoof of THE PURGE.
Opening in only 1011 theatres, needs a good PTA to have a chance at the
Bonus. It will fall short.
EYE IN THE SKY
Cost: 53 FML Bucks
Estimate: $3.19 million
A well-received drama about drone strikes in the War on
Terror notable for being the final on-screen appearance of the late Alan
Rickman. Other than that sentimental
factor, how many people are clamoring to see that?
HELLO, MY NAME IS DORIS
Cost: 52 FML Bucks
Estimate: $3.356 million
Last week’s Bonus winner expands into 959 theatres this
weekend. Sure to be moderately
successful but not nearly enough to win back-to-back weeks.
DEADPOOL
Cost: FML Bucks
Estimate: $2.938 million
Now in under 2000 theatres…NOPE! Not doing it.
Not giving commentary on this. I’m
always wrong. You’re on your own.
10 CLOVERFIELD LANE
Cost: 50 FML Bucks
Estimate: $2.97 million
This movie’s success still fascinates me. Will be a non-factor this weekend, but…wow.
I SAW THE LIGHT
Cost: 47 FML Bucks
Estimate: $1 million
A Hank Williams biopic expanding to only 741 theatres. There’s something wrong here. Not worth your time or attention.
LONDON HAS FALLEN
Cost: 28 FML Bucks
Estimate: $1.514 million
Drops to about 1500 theatres this weekend while probably
splitting screens in most places. Still
a great low priced filler, as the cheapest option usually is.
My Cineplex
A difficult
weekend at first sight, quickly turned into something fairly easy. One medium-priced movie was a fantastic value
but going all-in with it is a risk. But
being able to easily round out the Cineplex with low-priced filler while using
near maximum dollars made my choice a no-brainer:
GREEK WEDDING x6, LONDON HAS FALLEN x2
Total Cost: 998 FML Bucks
Estimate After Bonus: $84.685 million
As always,
Good Luck & Buy a Winning Ticket!
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