Fantasy Box Office: February 26-28

DEADPOOL

Cost: 623 FML Bucks

Estimate: $26.54 million

Sure, for the third straight weekend, DEADPOOL will win the weekend.  But for the second straight weekend, it won’t be part of the perfect Cineplex.  Despite the mini expansion, it’s just too expensive.

GODS OF EGYPT

Cost: 243 FML Bucks

Estimate: $11.6 million

I’m seeing many estimates for this $140 million movie a lot lower than mine.  There has to be an audience for this movie but is a good chunk of it seeing DEADPOOL for a second time?

TRIPLE 9

Cost: 206 FML Bucks

Estimate: $9.075 million

I had increased my estimate by a million bucks because of peer pressure and it became a serious Bonus contender because of it.  But are older moviegoers going to skip Best Picture nominees on Oscars weekend?  I think not.

KUNG FU PANDA 3

Cost: 201 FML Bucks

Estimate: $8.14 million

Last weekend as the only movie for kids in theatres.  I hope you finally go if you haven’t already, but I’m not banking on it.

EDDIE THE EAGLE

Cost: 181 FML Bucks

Estimate: $9.2 million

I think this is the real wild card for the weekend.  Similar movies have done over $10 million but most estimates have it under mine.  If it hits over $9 million, the Bonus is in reach & eggs will be on faces but not mine.

RISEN

Cost: 158 FML Bucks

Estimate: $5.9 million

Still the first of many religious movies coming out in the weeks to come.  I see a big drop here.

HOW TO BE SINGLE

Cost: 96 FML Bucks

Estimate: $4.101 million

Obviously, “girls night out”s are more plentiful at places with a lot of alcohol.  The big drops continue.

THE WITCH

Cost: 95 FML Bucks

Estimate: $3.344 million

A horror flick with a ‘C-‘ Cinemascore?  This movie will fall off the face of the Earth.

RACE

Cost: 92 FML Bucks

Estimate: $3.309 million

No longer the newest true sports movie on the block.  Sure to fade into oblivion.

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS

Cost: 59 FML Bucks

Estimate: $2.344 million

The eleventh week & it’s still playing in over 1400 theatres.  Could The Force be with it still?

THE REVENANT

Cost: 58 FML Bucks

Estimate: $2.398 million

The Best Picture Oscar frontrunner on Oscar weekend.  Gross could be all over the place.

ZOOLANDER 2

Cost: 56 FML Bucks

Estimate: $1.76 million

A disaster of mammoth proportions on multiple levels.  And now it loses over 1400 theatres.  Ouch.

HAIL, CAESAR!

Cost: 29 FML Bucks

Estimate: $1.181 million

The Coens latest continues to fade into obscurity.

RIDE ALONG 2

Cost: 28 FML Bucks

Estimate: $1.22 million

This bad comedy keeps chugging along for one last bow.

THE CHOICE

Cost: 19 FML Bucks

Estimate: $0.721 million

Valentine’s Day is long over and so might be the reign of Nicholas Sparks in cinemas.

My Cineplex

            I changed my Cineplex three times in two days.  I honestly think the EDDIE THE EAGLE has a legitimate shot at $10+ million this weekend.  I also have zero faith in the rest of the movies this weekend.  Plus, it’s the last weekend of the Awards Season and I need to go bold in order to crack the top 250 for the season.  Might as well take a chance.

EDDIE THE EAGLE x5, RIDE ALONG 2 x3

Total Cost: 989 FML Bucks

Estimate After Bonus: $59.66 million

As always,

Good Luck & Buy a Winning Ticket!