Friday, February 26, 2016
Fantasy Box Office: February 26-28
Cost: 623 FML Bucks
Estimate: $26.54 million
Sure, for the third straight weekend, DEADPOOL will win the weekend. But for the second straight weekend, it won’t be part of the perfect Cineplex. Despite the mini expansion, it’s just too expensive.
GODS OF EGYPT
Cost: 243 FML Bucks
Estimate: $11.6 million
I’m seeing many estimates for this $140 million movie a lot lower than mine. There has to be an audience for this movie but is a good chunk of it seeing DEADPOOL for a second time?
Cost: 206 FML Bucks
Estimate: $9.075 million
I had increased my estimate by a million bucks because of peer pressure and it became a serious Bonus contender because of it. But are older moviegoers going to skip Best Picture nominees on Oscars weekend? I think not.
KUNG FU PANDA 3
Cost: 201 FML Bucks
Estimate: $8.14 million
Last weekend as the only movie for kids in theatres. I hope you finally go if you haven’t already, but I’m not banking on it.
EDDIE THE EAGLE
Cost: 181 FML Bucks
Estimate: $9.2 million
I think this is the real wild card for the weekend. Similar movies have done over $10 million but most estimates have it under mine. If it hits over $9 million, the Bonus is in reach & eggs will be on faces but not mine.
Cost: 158 FML Bucks
Estimate: $5.9 million
Still the first of many religious movies coming out in the weeks to come. I see a big drop here.
HOW TO BE SINGLE
Cost: 96 FML Bucks
Estimate: $4.101 million
Obviously, “girls night out”s are more plentiful at places with a lot of alcohol. The big drops continue.
Cost: 95 FML Bucks
Estimate: $3.344 million
A horror flick with a ‘C-‘ Cinemascore? This movie will fall off the face of the Earth.
Cost: 92 FML Bucks
Estimate: $3.309 million
No longer the newest true sports movie on the block. Sure to fade into oblivion.
STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS
Cost: 59 FML Bucks
Estimate: $2.344 million
The eleventh week & it’s still playing in over 1400 theatres. Could The Force be with it still?
Cost: 58 FML Bucks
Estimate: $2.398 million
The Best Picture Oscar frontrunner on Oscar weekend. Gross could be all over the place.
Cost: 56 FML Bucks
Estimate: $1.76 million
A disaster of mammoth proportions on multiple levels. And now it loses over 1400 theatres. Ouch.
Cost: 29 FML Bucks
Estimate: $1.181 million
The Coens latest continues to fade into obscurity.
RIDE ALONG 2
Cost: 28 FML Bucks
Estimate: $1.22 million
This bad comedy keeps chugging along for one last bow.
Cost: 19 FML Bucks
Estimate: $0.721 million
Valentine’s Day is long over and so might be the reign of Nicholas Sparks in cinemas.
I changed my Cineplex three times in two days. I honestly think the EDDIE THE EAGLE has a legitimate shot at $10+ million this weekend. I also have zero faith in the rest of the movies this weekend. Plus, it’s the last weekend of the Awards Season and I need to go bold in order to crack the top 250 for the season. Might as well take a chance.
EDDIE THE EAGLE x5, RIDE ALONG 2 x3
Total Cost: 989 FML Bucks
Estimate After Bonus: $59.66 million
Good Luck & Buy a Winning Ticket!